Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
348.81 – 200.04
86%14%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
352 – 197
Prediction correct · off by 3.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 546.4 ±9.3
Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 238.14Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 26.41Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 218.6Event APEX 84.26Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 514.2 ±9.8
Season APEX 272.5Event APEX 78.32Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 157.1Event APEX 94.54Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 84.6Event APEX 27.18Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9072, 8590, 1629
79
/ 100 compatProjected
348.8 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 9072, 8590, 1629
Auto
67.6 20%
Teleop
207.4 62%
Endgame
60.1 18%
Strengths
- · 9072 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 836, 888, 1719
82
/ 100 compatProjected
200 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 836, 888, 1719
Auto
43.7 22%
Teleop
108.1 55%
Endgame
44.1 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.26 · Blue 0.75
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score348.8pts
Blue projected score200pts
Red win probability86%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 148.8
- Score range
- 178–371
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
546.4Season APEX514.2
67.6Auto43.7
207.4Teleop108.1
60.1Endgame44.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 50 | 49 |
| teleop | 198 | 110 |
| endgame | 44 | 38 |
| foul | 60 | 0 |
| total | 352 | 197 |
Result
Final score
352 – 197
Prediction correct · off by 3.1 pts
Match videos
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