Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
29.14 – 52.72
43%57%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
48 – 177
Prediction correct · off by 71.6 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 191.6 ±12.8
Season APEX 51Event APEX 8.15Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 113.2Event APEX 20.37Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 27.4Event APEX 0.62Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 377.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 218.6Event APEX 1.21Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 93.8Event APEX 31.14Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 20.37Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5841, 3748, 2849
42
/ 100 compatProjected
29.1 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 5841, 3748, 2849
Auto
7.4 25%
Teleop
13.5 46%
Endgame
8.6 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1629, 5115, 5830
49
/ 100 compatProjected
52.7 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 1629, 5115, 5830
Auto
12.4 26%
Teleop
27.2 58%
Endgame
7.4 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.58
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score29.1pts
Blue projected score52.7pts
Red win probability43%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 39%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -23.6
- Score range
- 11–71
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
191.6Season APEX377.2
7.4Auto12.4
13.5Teleop27.2
8.6Endgame7.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 8 | 13 |
| teleop | 37 | 119 |
| endgame | 3 | 45 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 48 | 177 |
Result
Final score
48 – 177
Prediction correct · off by 71.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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