Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
32.22 – 104.09
29%71%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
58 – 367
Prediction correct · off by 144.3 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.7 ±13.3
Season APEX 31.4Event APEX 6.86Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71Event APEX 9.56Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 15.8Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 457.5 ±10.5
Season APEX 45.7Event APEX 6.86Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 66.09Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 157.1Event APEX 31.14Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4464, 1418, 2900
45
/ 100 compatProjected
32.2 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 4464, 1418, 2900
Auto
7.8 26%
Teleop
13.4 45%
Endgame
8.7 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8726, 9072, 888
77
/ 100 compatProjected
104.1 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 8726, 9072, 888
Auto
19.7 19%
Teleop
59.9 58%
Endgame
23.1 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.95 · Blue 2
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score32.2pts
Blue projected score104.1pts
Red win probability29%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 8%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -71.9
- Score range
- 17–119
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
162.7Season APEX457.5
7.8Auto19.7
13.4Teleop59.9
8.7Endgame23.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 57 |
| teleop | 25 | 242 |
| endgame | 8 | 68 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 58 | 367 |
Result
Final score
58 – 367
Prediction correct · off by 144.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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