FCH District Pasadena MD Event presented by Plummer Industries

Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

112.22 – 100.78

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

141 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 17 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 418.5 ±11.2

2900The Mighty Penguins

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 17.38Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9033Ocebots

Season APEX 85.7Event APEX 26.12Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

836The RoboBees

Season APEX 272.5Event APEX 68.72Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 185.3 ±12.7

4464Team Illusion

Season APEX 31.4Event APEX 23.64Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6863Squirrels

Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 27.95Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5115Knight Riders

Season APEX 93.8Event APEX 49.19Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2900, 9033, 836

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2900, 9033, 836

Auto

31.0 29%

Teleop

47.3 45%

Endgame

27.7 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4464, 6863, 5115

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4464, 6863, 5115

Auto

17.7 18%

Teleop

57.5 58%

Endgame

23.1 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.53 · Blue 1.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score112.2pts

Blue projected score100.8pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 11.4
Score range: 80–133
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 247 vs event baseline 115.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

418.5Season APEX185.3

31Auto17.7

47.3Teleop57.5

27.7Endgame23.1

66Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	29
teleop	69	38
endgame	29	19
foul	0	20
total	141	106

Result

Final score

141 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 17 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.