FCH District Pasadena MD Event presented by Plummer Industries

Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

90.07 – 175.48

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

71 – 107

Prediction correct · off by 43.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 285.2 ±11.7

614Night Hawks

Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 79.83Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8622The CyBirds

Season APEX 49.7Event APEX -9.54Rank 34Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4821CyberUs

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 19.78Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 393 ±10.5

2199Robo-Lions

Season APEX 199.4Event APEX 77.74Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4505McDonogh Robotics

Season APEX 36.5Event APEX 6.18Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

888Robotiators

Season APEX 157.1Event APEX 91.56Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 614, 8622, 4821

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 614, 8622, 4821

Auto

31.8 39%

Teleop

34.4 42%

Endgame

15.4 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2199, 4505, 888

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2199, 4505, 888

Auto

29.9 17%

Teleop

110.1 61%

Endgame

39.6 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.89 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score90.1pts

Blue projected score175.5pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -85.4
Score range: 69–196
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 178 vs event baseline 114.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

285.2Season APEX393

31.8Auto29.9

34.4Teleop110.1

15.4Endgame39.6

62Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	33
teleop	40	55
endgame	2	19
foul	5	0
total	71	107

Result

Final score

71 – 107

Prediction correct · off by 43.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.