FCH District Pasadena MD Event presented by Plummer Industries

Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

116.12 – 46.75

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

79 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 25.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 221.6 ±12.2

5115Knight Riders

Season APEX 93.8Event APEX 53.47Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11350Guilford Gearheads

Season APEX 39.9Event APEX 20.52Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10679The Wirewolves

Season APEX 87.9Event APEX 42.13Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 193.1 ±12.2

2421RTR Team Robotics

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 12.31Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1111Power Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX 2.66Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2849Ursa Major

Season APEX 27.4Event APEX 31.78Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5115, 11350, 10679

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5115, 11350, 10679

Auto

18.8 16%

Teleop

76.7 67%

Endgame

18.8 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2421, 1111, 2849

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2421, 1111, 2849

Auto

10.2 21%

Teleop

15.3 32%

Endgame

22.2 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score116.1pts

Blue projected score46.8pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 69.4
Score range: 26–137
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 112 vs event baseline 115.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

221.6Season APEX193.1

18.8Auto10.2

76.7Teleop15.3

18.8Endgame22.2

6Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	13
teleop	44	11
endgame	6	9
foul	5	0
total	79	33

Result

Final score

79 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 25.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.