FCH District Pasadena MD Event presented by Plummer Industries

Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

164.36 – 50.79

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

109 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 39.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 639.9 ±9.3

3748Ragnarok Robotics

Season APEX 113.2Event APEX 26.46Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

836The RoboBees

Season APEX 272.5Event APEX 71.94Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

686Bovine Intervention

Season APEX 254.2Event APEX 65.96Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 169.9 ±11.6

8726CryptoHawks

Season APEX 45.7Event APEX 11.14Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1719The Umbrella Corporation

Season APEX 84.6Event APEX 16.75Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4821CyberUs

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 22.9Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3748, 836, 686

/ 100 compat

Projected

164.4 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3748, 836, 686

Auto

32.7 20%

Teleop

94.7 58%

Endgame

36.3 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8726, 1719, 4821

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8726, 1719, 4821

Auto

7.8 17%

Teleop

24.9 54%

Endgame

13.3 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 0.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score164.4pts

Blue projected score50.8pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 113.6
Score range: 30–185
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 137 vs event baseline 115.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

639.9Season APEX169.9

32.7Auto7.8

94.7Teleop24.9

36.3Endgame13.3

15Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	17
teleop	61	11
endgame	17	0
foul	0	0
total	109	28

Result

Final score

109 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 39.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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