FCH District Pasadena MD Event presented by Plummer Industries

Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

97.13 – 338.19

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

98 – 304

Prediction correct · off by 17.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 329 ±10.5

2199Robo-Lions

Season APEX 199.4Event APEX 76.84Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8726CryptoHawks

Season APEX 45.7Event APEX 9.71Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2421RTR Team Robotics

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 10.58Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 587.3 ±9.9

9072TigerBots

Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 231.28Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6863Squirrels

Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 32.19Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

836The RoboBees

Season APEX 272.5Event APEX 74.72Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2199, 8726, 2421

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.1 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2199, 8726, 2421

Auto

19.5 19%

Teleop

62.8 62%

Endgame

18.3 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9072, 6863, 836

/ 100 compat

Projected

338.2 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9072, 6863, 836

Auto

66.7 20%

Teleop

192.5 58%

Endgame

71.2 22%

Strengths

· 9072 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.52 · Blue 2.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score97.1pts

Blue projected score338.2pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -241.1
Score range: 76–359
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 402 vs event baseline 114.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

329Season APEX587.3

19.5Auto66.7

62.8Teleop192.5

18.3Endgame71.2

47Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	68
teleop	61	154
endgame	19	77
foul	0	5
total	98	304

Result

Final score

98 – 304

Prediction correct · off by 17.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.