FCH District Pasadena MD Event presented by Plummer Industries

Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.66 – 101.23

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

40 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 11.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 131.8 ±13.3

4821CyberUs

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 24.27Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5830LIFE Engineering

Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 6.05Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2849Ursa Major

Season APEX 27.4Event APEX 32.34Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 379.8 ±11.2

686Bovine Intervention

Season APEX 254.2Event APEX 65.41Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7770Infinite Voltage

Season APEX 39.9Event APEX 12.05Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9033Ocebots

Season APEX 85.7Event APEX 23.77Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4821, 5830, 2849

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4821, 5830, 2849

Auto

3.3 6%

Teleop

23.6 43%

Endgame

27.7 51%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 686, 7770, 9033

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 686, 7770, 9033

Auto

30.5 31%

Teleop

50.2 51%

Endgame

18.6 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score62.7pts

Blue projected score101.2pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -38.6
Score range: 42–122
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 140 vs event baseline 116.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

131.8Season APEX379.8

3.3Auto30.5

23.6Teleop50.2

27.7Endgame18.6

27Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	18
teleop	9	62
endgame	13	20
foul	0	0
total	40	100

Result

Final score

40 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 11.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.