FCH District Pasadena MD Event presented by Plummer Industries

Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

76.51 – 77.57

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

83 – 67

Prediction missed · off by 8.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 240.7 ±11.6

1418Vae Victis

Season APEX 71Event APEX 33.04Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10679The Wirewolves

Season APEX 87.9Event APEX 43.17Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1111Power Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX 0.3Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 308.2 ±12.4

7770Infinite Voltage

Season APEX 39.9Event APEX 13.27Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1629Garrett Coalition (GaCo)

Season APEX 218.6Event APEX 71.03Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8622The CyBirds

Season APEX 49.7Event APEX -6.73Rank 34Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1418, 10679, 1111

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1418, 10679, 1111

Auto

13.1 17%

Teleop

49.2 64%

Endgame

15.1 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7770, 1629, 8622

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7770, 1629, 8622

Auto

18.4 25%

Teleop

36.8 50%

Endgame

18.7 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score76.5pts

Blue projected score77.6pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -1.1
Score range: 56–99
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 150 vs event baseline 117.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

240.7Season APEX308.2

13.1Auto18.4

49.2Teleop36.8

15.1Endgame18.7

37Consistency94

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	35
teleop	30	32
endgame	36	0
foul	0	0
total	83	67

Result

Final score

83 – 67

Prediction missed · off by 8.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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