FCH District Pasadena MD Event presented by Plummer Industries

Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

21.79 – 99.94

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

35 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 22.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 167.3 ±11.6

2421RTR Team Robotics

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 17.5Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4821CyberUs

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 5.23Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

623Oakton Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 43.8Event APEX -0.94Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 245.4 ±12.2

1418Vae Victis

Season APEX 71Event APEX 28.23Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8622The CyBirds

Season APEX 49.7Event APEX -14.94Rank 34Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2537Space RAIDers

Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 86.65Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2421, 4821, 623

/ 100 compat

Projected

21.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2421, 4821, 623

Auto

7.3 39%

Teleop

-6.7 0%

Endgame

18.2 97%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1418, 8622, 2537

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1418, 8622, 2537

Auto

18.3 20%

Teleop

56.6 61%

Endgame

18.2 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.86 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score21.8pts

Blue projected score99.9pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -78.1
Score range: 1–121
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 167 vs event baseline 116.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

167.3Season APEX245.4

7.3Auto18.3

-6.7Teleop56.6

18.2Endgame18.2

14Consistency148

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	29
teleop	21	74
endgame	5	24
foul	0	5
total	35	132

Result

Final score

35 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 22.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.