FCH District Pasadena MD Event presented by Plummer Industries

Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

100.49 – 53.39

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

129 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 23.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 382.1 ±10.5

8590Cavbotics

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 11.2Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4505McDonogh Robotics

Season APEX 36.5Event APEX 3.69Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

836The RoboBees

Season APEX 272.5Event APEX 85.6Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 137.4 ±12.7

6863Squirrels

Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 26.77Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6326⚡ Baltimore Bolts ⚡

Season APEX 37.4Event APEX 14.39Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7770Infinite Voltage

Season APEX 39.9Event APEX 12.23Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8590, 4505, 836

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8590, 4505, 836

Auto

21.5 22%

Teleop

53.3 55%

Endgame

22.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6863, 6326, 7770

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6863, 6326, 7770

Auto

24.6 46%

Teleop

7.7 14%

Endgame

21.0 39%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.69 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score100.5pts

Blue projected score53.4pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 47.1
Score range: 33–120
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 200 vs event baseline 112.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

382.1Season APEX137.4

21.5Auto24.6

53.3Teleop7.7

22.6Endgame21

54Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	15
teleop	69	33
endgame	24	23
foul	0	0
total	129	71

Result

Final score

129 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 23.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.