FCH District Pasadena MD Event presented by Plummer Industries

Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

79.9 – 172.54

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

151 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 60.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 341.5 ±11.7

2900The Mighty Penguins

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 3.69Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1111Power Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX 2.39Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2199Robo-Lions

Season APEX 199.4Event APEX 73.82Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 438.7 ±11.2

686Bovine Intervention

Season APEX 254.2Event APEX 64.64Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2849Ursa Major

Season APEX 27.4Event APEX 34.25Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

888Robotiators

Season APEX 157.1Event APEX 73.65Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2900, 1111, 2199

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2900, 1111, 2199

Auto

8.7 11%

Teleop

40.0 52%

Endgame

28.3 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 686, 2849, 888

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 686, 2849, 888

Auto

25.1 15%

Teleop

108.7 64%

Endgame

35.3 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.93 · Blue 2.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score79.9pts

Blue projected score172.5pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -92.6
Score range: 60–193
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 374 vs event baseline 110.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

341.5Season APEX438.7

8.7Auto25.1

40Teleop108.7

28.3Endgame35.3

89Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	36
teleop	78	146
endgame	43	41
foul	0	0
total	151	223

Result

Final score

151 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 60.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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