FCH District Pasadena MD Event presented by Plummer Industries

Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

38.12 – 103.61

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

18 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 29.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 166.8 ±12.8

9033Ocebots

Season APEX 85.7Event APEX 23.2Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4464Team Illusion

Season APEX 31.4Event APEX 23.37Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8622The CyBirds

Season APEX 49.7Event APEX -8.45Rank 34Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 214.5 ±12.8

4541CAVineers

Season APEX 109.8Event APEX 46.98Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11350Guilford Gearheads

Season APEX 39.9Event APEX 40.37Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5830LIFE Engineering

Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 16.26Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9033, 4464, 8622

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9033, 4464, 8622

Auto

17.0 46%

Teleop

16.9 46%

Endgame

3.1 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4541, 11350, 5830

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4541, 11350, 5830

Auto

17.5 16%

Teleop

69.4 64%

Endgame

21.2 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.98 · Blue 1.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score38.1pts

Blue projected score103.6pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -65.5
Score range: 18–124
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 83 vs event baseline 112.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

166.8Season APEX214.5

17Auto17.5

16.9Teleop69.4

3.1Endgame21.2

90Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	18
teleop	6	41
endgame	3	6
foul	0	0
total	18	65

Result

Final score

18 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 29.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.