FCH District Pasadena MD Event presented by Plummer Industries

Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

64.05 – 242.57

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

27 – 371

Prediction correct · off by 82.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 158.7 ±12.2

7770Infinite Voltage

Season APEX 39.9Event APEX 15.9Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8726CryptoHawks

Season APEX 45.7Event APEX 34.34Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8590Cavbotics

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 13.81Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 418.3 ±11.1

9072TigerBots

Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 194.91Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6239The Irrational Engineers

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 6.09Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5115Knight Riders

Season APEX 93.8Event APEX 41.57Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7770, 8726, 8590

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.1 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7770, 8726, 8590

Auto

21.1 33%

Teleop

38.5 61%

Endgame

4.0 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9072, 6239, 5115

/ 100 compat

Projected

242.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9072, 6239, 5115

Auto

40.9 17%

Teleop

138.8 58%

Endgame

58.1 24%

Strengths

· 9072 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.54 · Blue 2.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score64.1pts

Blue projected score242.6pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -178.5
Score range: 44–263
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 398 vs event baseline 109.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

158.7Season APEX418.3

21.1Auto40.9

38.5Teleop138.8

4Endgame58.1

5Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	72
teleop	7	222
endgame	0	67
foul	5	10
total	27	371

Result

Final score

27 – 371

Prediction correct · off by 82.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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