FCH District Pasadena MD Event presented by Plummer Industries

Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

124.98 – 123.97

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

117 – 141

Prediction missed · off by 12.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 230.5 ±11.6

2537Space RAIDers

Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 55.66Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8726CryptoHawks

Season APEX 45.7Event APEX 39.76Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6863Squirrels

Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 29.56Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 353.6 ±10.5

10679The Wirewolves

Season APEX 87.9Event APEX 48.97Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6239The Irrational Engineers

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 0.58Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

614Night Hawks

Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 74.42Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2537, 8726, 6863

/ 100 compat

Projected

125 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2537, 8726, 6863

Auto

26.7 22%

Teleop

73.5 60%

Endgame

21.5 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10679, 6239, 614

/ 100 compat

Projected

124 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10679, 6239, 614

Auto

36.5 29%

Teleop

63.0 51%

Endgame

24.6 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.47 · Blue 1.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score125pts

Blue projected score124pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 1
Score range: 105–144
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 258 vs event baseline 107.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

230.5Season APEX353.6

26.7Auto36.5

73.5Teleop63

21.5Endgame24.6

60Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	37
teleop	68	78
endgame	20	21
foul	0	5
total	117	141

Result

Final score

117 – 141

Prediction missed · off by 12.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.