FCH District Pasadena MD Event presented by Plummer Industries

Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

128.93 – 70.18

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 152

Prediction missed · off by 72.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 198.7 ±11.7

8590Cavbotics

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 39.52Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9033Ocebots

Season APEX 85.7Event APEX 35.68Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11350Guilford Gearheads

Season APEX 39.9Event APEX 53.73Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 426.2 ±10.5

836The RoboBees

Season APEX 272.5Event APEX 70.62Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2421RTR Team Robotics

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 6Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6239The Irrational Engineers

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX -6.44Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8590, 9033, 11350

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8590, 9033, 11350

Auto

22.1 18%

Teleop

65.5 53%

Endgame

36.6 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 836, 2421, 6239

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 836, 2421, 6239

Auto

8.6 12%

Teleop

41.7 60%

Endgame

18.7 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score128.9pts

Blue projected score70.2pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 58.8
Score range: 50–149
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 218 vs event baseline 108.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

198.7Season APEX426.2

22.1Auto8.6

65.5Teleop41.7

36.6Endgame18.7

27Consistency165

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	36
teleop	40	56
endgame	1	60
foul	0	0
total	66	152

Result

Final score

66 – 152

Prediction missed · off by 72.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.