FCH District Pasadena MD Event presented by Plummer Industries

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

188.73 – 84.81

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

255 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 35.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 376.4 ±11.7

1111Power Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX 1.65Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9072TigerBots

Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 169.36Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7770Infinite Voltage

Season APEX 39.9Event APEX 17.72Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 261.4 ±11.7

3748Ragnarok Robotics

Season APEX 113.2Event APEX 21.17Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10679The Wirewolves

Season APEX 87.9Event APEX 56.72Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2900The Mighty Penguins

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 6.92Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1111, 9072, 7770

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.7 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1111, 9072, 7770

Auto

43.6 23%

Teleop

99.8 53%

Endgame

44.4 24%

Strengths

· 9072 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3748, 10679, 2900

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3748, 10679, 2900

Auto

11.5 15%

Teleop

55.0 73%

Endgame

8.5 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.05 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score188.7pts

Blue projected score84.8pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 103.9
Score range: 66–208
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 345 vs event baseline 104.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

376.4Season APEX261.4

43.6Auto11.5

99.8Teleop55

44.4Endgame8.5

55Consistency180

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	18
teleop	128	48
endgame	78	24
foul	0	0
total	255	90

Result

Final score

255 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 35.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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