Qualification · Qualification 12
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
228.92 – 98.29
84%16%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
274 – 110
Prediction correct · off by 28.4 points
Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 535.2 ±9.3
Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 52.43Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 84.6Event APEX 32.8Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 143.69Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 408.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 52.21Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 272.5Event APEX 18.15Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 71Event APEX 27.93Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 614, 1719, 9072
86
/ 100 compatProjected
228.9 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 614, 1719, 9072
Auto
44.3 19%
Teleop
143.3 62%
Endgame
43.1 19%
Strengths
- · 9072 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5830, 836, 1418
66
/ 100 compatProjected
98.3 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 5830, 836, 1418
Auto
15.2 17%
Teleop
57.6 64%
Endgame
17.3 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.2 · Blue 0.76
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score228.9pts
Blue projected score98.3pts
Red win probability84%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 39%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 130.6
- Score range
- 81–246
- Upset likelihood
- 16%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
535.2Season APEX408.3
44.3Auto15.2
143.3Teleop57.6
43.1Endgame17.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 67 | 12 |
| teleop | 154 | 72 |
| endgame | 53 | 26 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 274 | 110 |
Result
Final score
274 – 110
Prediction correct · off by 28.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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