FCH District Pasadena MD Event presented by Plummer Industries

Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

57.6 – 0

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

31 – 36

Prediction missed · off by 31.3 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 347.7 ±11.7

8622The CyBirds

Season APEX 49.7Event APEX -7.15Rank 34Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

623Oakton Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 15.28Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

686Bovine Intervention

Season APEX 254.2Event APEX 49.47Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 192.9 ±11.6

6326⚡ Baltimore Bolts ⚡

Season APEX 37.4Event APEX -34.12Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6239The Irrational Engineers

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX -1.93Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9033Ocebots

Season APEX 85.7Event APEX 15.13Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8622, 623, 686

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8622, 623, 686

Auto

20.6 40%

Teleop

35.2 69%

Endgame

-4.7 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6326, 6239, 9033

/ 100 compat

Projected

-20.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6326, 6239, 9033

Auto

-0.1 0%

Teleop

-16.5 63%

Endgame

-9.6 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.8 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score57.6pts

Blue projected score-20.9pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 57.6
Score range: -18–76
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 67 vs event baseline 102.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

347.7Season APEX192.9

20.6Auto-0.1

35.2Teleop-16.5

-4.7Endgame-9.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	12
teleop	17	13
endgame	2	11
foul	0	0
total	31	36

Result

Final score

31 – 36

Prediction missed · off by 31.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.