FCH District Pasadena MD Event presented by Plummer Industries

Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

346.96 – 189.8

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

253 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 55.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 546.4 ±9.3

9072TigerBots

Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 237.47Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8590Cavbotics

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 25.79Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1629Garrett Coalition (GaCo)

Season APEX 218.6Event APEX 83.7Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 514.2 ±9.8

836The RoboBees

Season APEX 272.5Event APEX 75.1Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

888Robotiators

Season APEX 157.1Event APEX 90.91Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1719The Umbrella Corporation

Season APEX 84.6Event APEX 23.79Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9072, 8590, 1629

/ 100 compat

Projected

347 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9072, 8590, 1629

Auto

65.6 20%

Teleop

206.1 63%

Endgame

55.6 17%

Strengths

· 9072 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 836, 888, 1719

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.8 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 836, 888, 1719

Auto

45.8 24%

Teleop

104.7 56%

Endgame

37.1 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.28 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score347pts

Blue projected score189.8pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 157.2
Score range: 168–369
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 425 vs event baseline 124.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

546.4Season APEX514.2

65.6Auto45.8

206.1Teleop104.7

55.6Endgame37.1

0Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	68
teleop	134	70
endgame	53	34
foul	0	0
total	253	172

Result

Final score

253 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 55.9 pts

Match videos

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