Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
174.34 – 137.12
61%39%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
0 – 113
Prediction missed · off by 99.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 379.2 ±9.8
Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 27.11Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 193.9Event APEX 73.23Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 112.2Event APEX 74Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 181.1 ±12.1
Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 47.07Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 44.15Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 45.9Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8590, 1727, 4472
69
/ 100 compatProjected
174.3 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 8590, 1727, 4472
Auto
24.1 15%
Teleop
91.0 56%
Endgame
48.8 30%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3373, 6882, 116
59
/ 100 compatProjected
137.1 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 3373, 6882, 116
Auto
30.7 24%
Teleop
76.2 59%
Endgame
22.4 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.29
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score174.3pts
Blue projected score137.1pts
Red win probability61%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 37.2
- Score range
- 110–201
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
379.2Season APEX181.1
24.1Auto30.7
91Teleop76.2
48.8Endgame22.4
43Consistency44
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 45 | 30 |
| teleop | 146 | 31 |
| endgame | 31 | 32 |
| foul | 0 | 20 |
| total | 0 | 113 |
Result
Final score
0 – 113
Prediction missed · off by 99.2 pts
Match videos
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