Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
173.15 – 146.29
58%42%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
321 – 122
Prediction correct · off by 86.1 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 535.8 ±9.8
Season APEX 254Event APEX 58.29Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 157.1Event APEX 71.43Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 43.43Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 182.7 ±12.7
Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 31.43Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 71.43Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 43.43Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5549, 888, 2537
83
/ 100 compatProjected
173.2 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 5549, 888, 2537
Auto
35.7 22%
Teleop
86.2 52%
Endgame
42.7 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3373, 6882, 2900
76
/ 100 compatProjected
146.3 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3373, 6882, 2900
Auto
34.0 25%
Teleop
68.3 50%
Endgame
35.4 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.41
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score173.2pts
Blue projected score146.3pts
Red win probability58%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 26.9
- Score range
- 122–197
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
535.8Season APEX182.7
35.7Auto34
86.2Teleop68.3
42.7Endgame35.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 64 | 36 |
| teleop | 195 | 47 |
| endgame | 62 | 39 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 321 | 122 |
Result
Final score
321 – 122
Prediction correct · off by 86.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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