FCH District Bethesda MD Event presented by Bechtel

Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

200.8 – 107.14

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

271 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 45.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 401.8 ±11.2

2914TIGER PRIDE

Season APEX 58.1Event APEX 27.19Rank 19Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1389The Body Electric

Season APEX 113.9Event APEX 56.8Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1731Fresta Valley Robotics Club

Season APEX 229.8Event APEX 116.81Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 291 ±11.7

2186Dogs of Steel

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 32.28Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1446Robo Knights

Season APEX 40Event APEX -1.62Rank 33Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1727REX

Season APEX 193.9Event APEX 76.48Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2914, 1389, 1731

/ 100 compat

Projected

200.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2914, 1389, 1731

Auto

26.0 14%

Teleop

118.5 65%

Endgame

38.2 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2186, 1446, 1727

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2186, 1446, 1727

Auto

17.5 17%

Teleop

65.6 63%

Endgame

20.9 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 0.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score200.8pts

Blue projected score107.1pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 93.7
Score range: 81–227
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 357 vs event baseline 145.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

401.8Season APEX291

26Auto17.5

118.5Teleop65.6

38.2Endgame20.9

27Consistency90

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	26
teleop	158	55
endgame	63	0
foul	0	5
total	271	86

Result

Final score

271 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 45.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.