FCH District Bethesda MD Event presented by Bechtel

Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

243.91 – 92.46

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

302 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 76.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 448.2 ±9.8

2537Space RAIDers

Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 89.25Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5587Titan Robotics

Season APEX 93.7Event APEX 42.77Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1731Fresta Valley Robotics Club

Season APEX 229.8Event APEX 111.89Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 188.3 ±12.7

116Epsilon Delta

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 32.7Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6882Fahrenheit Robotics

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 41.77Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3714CHF S.O.A.R.

Season APEX 59.8Event APEX 17.99Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2537, 5587, 1731

/ 100 compat

Projected

243.9 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2537, 5587, 1731

Auto

57.7 23%

Teleop

140.9 57%

Endgame

49.9 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 116, 6882, 3714

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 116, 6882, 3714

Auto

28.7 34%

Teleop

49.6 58%

Endgame

6.6 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.39 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score243.9pts

Blue projected score92.5pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 151.5
Score range: 66–270
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 490 vs event baseline 144.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

448.2Season APEX188.3

57.7Auto28.7

140.9Teleop49.6

49.9Endgame6.6

41Consistency20

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	27
teleop	168	110
endgame	30	51
foul	30	0
total	302	188

Result

Final score

302 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 76.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.