FCH District Bethesda MD Event presented by Bechtel

Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

211.46 – 34.39

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

192 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 41.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 339.2 ±11

4456Mech Cadets

Season APEX 100.6Event APEX 57.91Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2537Space RAIDers

Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 93.85Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1389The Body Electric

Season APEX 113.9Event APEX 59.7Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 171.5 ±13.3

3714CHF S.O.A.R.

Season APEX 59.8Event APEX 15.13Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5353LoCo Raptors

Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 39.21Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2912Panther Robotics

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX -19.95Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4456, 2537, 1389

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.5 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4456, 2537, 1389

Auto

51.4 24%

Teleop

118.2 56%

Endgame

41.4 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3714, 5353, 2912

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.4 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3714, 5353, 2912

Auto

13.5 32%

Teleop

26.9 63%

Endgame

2.1 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score211.5pts

Blue projected score34.4pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 177.1
Score range: 9–236
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 290 vs event baseline 140.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

339.2Season APEX171.5

51.4Auto13.5

118.2Teleop26.9

41.4Endgame2.1

7Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	18
teleop	107	43
endgame	51	37
foul	0	0
total	192	98

Result

Final score

192 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 41.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.