FCH District Bethesda MD Event presented by Bechtel

Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

102.49 – 53.21

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

149 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 25.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 201.5 ±12.1

5353LoCo Raptors

Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 35.17Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2186Dogs of Steel

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 24.04Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6882Fahrenheit Robotics

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 43.28Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 295.1 ±11.2

2912Panther Robotics

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX -18.47Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11318Freedom Robotics

Season APEX 184.9Event APEX 53.63Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8590Cavbotics

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 18.05Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5353, 2186, 6882

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5353, 2186, 6882

Auto

34.3 38%

Teleop

48.5 54%

Endgame

6.6 7%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2912, 11318, 8590

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2912, 11318, 8590

Auto

13.5 26%

Teleop

14.4 27%

Endgame

24.5 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score102.5pts

Blue projected score53.2pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 49.3
Score range: 28–127
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 207 vs event baseline 137.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

201.5Season APEX295.1

34.3Auto13.5

48.5Teleop14.4

6.6Endgame24.5

57Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	12
teleop	99	39
endgame	31	7
foul	0	0
total	149	58

Result

Final score

149 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 25.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.