Qualification · Qualification 31
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
129.15 – 193.1
31%69%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
97 – 237
Prediction correct · off by 38 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 286.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 184.9Event APEX 61.48Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 56.4Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 11.27Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 401.6 ±10.5
Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 35.76Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 229.8Event APEX 92.59Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 64.75Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11318, 3373, 2988
62
/ 100 compatProjected
129.2 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 11318, 3373, 2988
Auto
23.9 18%
Teleop
71.4 54%
Endgame
37.3 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5353, 1731, 5243
84
/ 100 compatProjected
193.1 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 5353, 1731, 5243
Auto
35.4 19%
Teleop
106.0 58%
Endgame
42.0 23%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.16 · Blue 2.03
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score129.2pts
Blue projected score193.1pts
Red win probability31%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -63.9
- Score range
- 104–218
- Upset likelihood
- 31%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
286.2Season APEX401.6
23.9Auto35.4
71.4Teleop106
37.3Endgame42
93Consistency133
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 10 | 57 |
| teleop | 46 | 129 |
| endgame | 41 | 51 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 97 | 237 |
Result
Final score
97 – 237
Prediction correct · off by 38 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.