FCH District Bethesda MD Event presented by Bechtel

Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

94.38 – 199.59

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

148 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 40.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 212 ±12.8

2537Space RAIDers

Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 101.02Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11211Apex Dimension

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 17.5Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1446Robo Knights

Season APEX 40Event APEX -24.14Rank 33Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 459.1 ±11.2

5338RoboLoCo

Season APEX 251Event APEX 85.14Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

888Robotiators

Season APEX 157.1Event APEX 96.56Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5841The Patriots

Season APEX 51Event APEX 17.89Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2537, 11211, 1446

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2537, 11211, 1446

Auto

40.8 40%

Teleop

50.0 49%

Endgame

10.6 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5338, 888, 5841

/ 100 compat

Projected

199.6 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5338, 888, 5841

Auto

32.1 17%

Teleop

114.9 60%

Endgame

43.4 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.93 · Blue 2.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score94.4pts

Blue projected score199.6pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -105.2
Score range: 70–224
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 321 vs event baseline 136.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

212Season APEX459.1

40.8Auto32.1

50Teleop114.9

10.6Endgame43.4

59Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	34
teleop	73	98
endgame	44	26
foul	0	15
total	148	173

Result

Final score

148 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 40.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.