Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
NE District WPI Event

Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

441.08 – 387.43

66%34%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

256 – 392

Prediction missed · off by 94.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 678.1 ±8.8
8544Reinforcement
C
Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 29.12Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
5000HAMMERHEADS
A+
Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 191.77Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
190Gompei and the HERD
A
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 220.19Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 640.7 ±9.3
11483Red Line Robotics
C
Season APEX 110.8Event APEX 38.2Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2370IBOTS
A
Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 171.65Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
10254Regal Seagulls
A
Season APEX 269Event APEX 177.58Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8544, 5000, 190
84
/ 100 compat
Projected
441.1 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 8544, 5000, 190
Auto
86.0 20%
Teleop
232.3 54%
Endgame
108.4 25%
Strengths
  • · 190 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11483, 2370, 10254
82
/ 100 compat
Projected
387.4 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 11483, 2370, 10254
Auto
72.6 19%
Teleop
221.8 58%
Endgame
89.0 23%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 1.52
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score441.1pts
Blue projected score387.4pts
Red win probability66%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 68%
Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 15%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
53.6
Score range
346–482
Upset likelihood
34%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 648 vs event baseline 230.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

678.1Season APEX640.7
86Auto72.6
232.3Teleop221.8
108.4Endgame89
26Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto10696
teleop100192
endgame50104
foul00
total256392

Result

Final score

256 – 392

Prediction missed · off by 94.8 pts

Match videos

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