Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

508.05 – 337.65

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

481 – 255

Prediction correct · off by 54.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 747.8 ±8.2

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 168.78Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8567Team Ultraviolet

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 14.55Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 324.72Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 424.6 ±11

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 113.64Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

20794H ALARM Robotics

Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 146.9Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

237Black Magic Robotics

Season APEX 103.8Event APEX 77.11Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1768, 8567, 3467

/ 100 compat

Projected

508.1 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1768, 8567, 3467

Auto

98.2 19%

Teleop

293.3 58%

Endgame

117.6 23%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1100, 2079, 237

/ 100 compat

Projected

337.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1100, 2079, 237

Auto

49.0 15%

Teleop

186.2 56%

Endgame

94.6 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.74 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score508.1pts

Blue projected score337.7pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 74%

Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 170.4
Score range: 297–549
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 736 vs event baseline 228.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

747.8Season APEX424.6

98.2Auto49

293.3Teleop186.2

117.6Endgame94.6

20Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	96	73
teleop	296	128
endgame	89	54
foul	0	0
total	481	255

Result

Final score

481 – 255

Prediction correct · off by 54.9 pts

Match videos

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