Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

340.65 – 156.14

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

337 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 17.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 424.6 ±11

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 114.49Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

20794H ALARM Robotics

Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 147.81Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

237Black Magic Robotics

Season APEX 103.8Event APEX 78.35Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 411 ±10.5

1740Cyber Colonels

Season APEX 140.9Event APEX 102.02Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

348Norwell Robotics

Season APEX 147.4Event APEX 27.45Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

999MechaRAMS

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 26.67Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1100, 2079, 237

/ 100 compat

Projected

340.7 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1100, 2079, 237

Auto

51.0 15%

Teleop

183.5 55%

Endgame

96.2 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1740, 348, 999

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1740, 348, 999

Auto

12.3 8%

Teleop

89.9 61%

Endgame

45.7 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.74 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score340.7pts

Blue projected score156.1pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 74%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 184.5
Score range: 115–382
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 525 vs event baseline 225.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

424.6Season APEX411

51Auto12.3

183.5Teleop89.9

96.2Endgame45.7

24Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	27
teleop	202	91
endgame	91	70
foul	0	0
total	337	188

Result

Final score

337 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 17.8 pts

Match videos

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