Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
507.62 – 130.67
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
554 – 34
Prediction correct · off by 71.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 751.4 ±9.8
Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 18.76Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 166.56Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 322.3Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 262.6 ±12.7
Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 64.8Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 92.9Event APEX 49.16Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 16.71Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2262, 1768, 3467
81
/ 100 compatProjected
507.6 pts
~2.9 RP (district)
Teams: 2262, 1768, 3467
Auto
95.1 19%
Teleop
293.5 58%
Endgame
121.7 24%
Strengths
- · 3467 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 68%
Supercharged: 27%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3205, 6333, 157
46
/ 100 compatProjected
130.7 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 3205, 6333, 157
Auto
20.3 15%
Teleop
75.5 57%
Endgame
36.1 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 68%
Supercharged: 27%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.94 · Blue 0.74
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score507.6pts
Blue projected score130.7pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 68%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 377
- Score range
- 91–548
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
751.4Season APEX262.6
95.1Auto20.3
293.5Teleop75.5
121.7Endgame36.1
12Consistency59
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 137 | 23 |
| teleop | 290 | 11 |
| endgame | 127 | 0 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 554 | 34 |
Result
Final score
554 – 34
Prediction correct · off by 71.5 pts
Match videos
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