Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

393.42384.33

53%47%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

219257

Prediction missed · off by 150.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 640.7 ±9.3
Season APEX 110.8Event APEX 41.73Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 173.59Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 269Event APEX 178.1Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 678.1 ±8.8
Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 9.62Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 173.66Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 201.05Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11483, 2370, 10254
83
/ 100 compat
Projected
393.4 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 11483, 2370, 10254
Auto
76.9 20%
Teleop
218.1 56%
Endgame
95.6 24%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 68%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8544, 5000, 190
85
/ 100 compat
Projected
384.3 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 8544, 5000, 190
Auto
85.4 23%
Teleop
200.0 53%
Endgame
90.2 24%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 68%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.9 · Blue 1.74
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score393.4pts
Blue projected score384.3pts
Red win probability53%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 68%, blue 61%
Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 17%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
9.1
Score range
342435
Upset likelihood
47%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff
Standard match.

Combined score 476 vs event baseline 235.1.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

640.7Season APEX678.1
76.9Auto85.4
218.1Teleop200
95.6Endgame90.2
37Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto8478
teleop7993
endgame4166
foul1520
total219257

Result

Final score

219257

Prediction missed · off by 150.9 pts

Match videos

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