Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

382.47 – 272.55

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

396 – 246

Prediction correct · off by 20 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 678.1 ±8.8

8544Reinforcement

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 9.03Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 173.1Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 200.34Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 472.6 ±10.5

8724Mayhem

Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 91.44Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5112The Gongoliers

Season APEX 153Event APEX 105.13Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1757Wolverines

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 75.98Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8544, 5000, 190

/ 100 compat

Projected

382.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8544, 5000, 190

Auto

82.9 22%

Teleop

197.9 53%

Endgame

91.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8724, 5112, 1757

/ 100 compat

Projected

272.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8724, 5112, 1757

Auto

52.9 20%

Teleop

145.6 55%

Endgame

65.7 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.39 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score382.5pts

Blue projected score272.6pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 109.9
Score range: 231–424
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 642 vs event baseline 234.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

678.1Season APEX472.6

82.9Auto52.9

197.9Teleop145.6

91.6Endgame65.7

30Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	102	31
teleop	212	93
endgame	82	102
foul	0	20
total	396	246

Result

Final score

396 – 246

Prediction correct · off by 20 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.