Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

211.43 – 178.48

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

80 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 124.5 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 318 ±12.4

97Bionic Beef

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 19.14Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6762Oscats

Season APEX 29Event APEX 98.86Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8724Mayhem

Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 93.43Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 239.2 ±13.9

4048Redshift

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 93.43Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

716Who'sCTEKS

Season APEX 72Event APEX 75.71Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7760Griffin Innovations

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 9.34Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 97, 6762, 8724

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 97, 6762, 8724

Auto

47.7 23%

Teleop

111.4 54%

Endgame

46.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4048, 716, 7760

/ 100 compat

Projected

178.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4048, 716, 7760

Auto

35.6 20%

Teleop

95.1 55%

Endgame

43.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score211.4pts

Blue projected score178.5pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 33
Score range: 135–254
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 141 vs event baseline 237.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

318Season APEX239.2

47.7Auto35.6

111.4Teleop95.1

46.6Endgame43.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	22
teleop	56	9
endgame	0	30
foul	0	0
total	80	61

Result

Final score

80 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 124.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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