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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

416.93236.72

90%10%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

410227

Prediction correct · off by 8.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 611.7 ±8.8
Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 19.4Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 225.38Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 269Event APEX 172.15Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 381.2 ±12.8
Season APEX 94.7Event APEX 40.06Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 151.56Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 45.1Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8567, 190, 10254
85
/ 100 compat
Projected
416.9 pts
~2.7 RP (district)
Teams: 8567, 190, 10254
Auto
81.2 20%
Teleop
235.0 57%
Endgame
94.7 23%
Strengths
  • · 190 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 20%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3634, 2079, 4048
64
/ 100 compat
Projected
236.7 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 3634, 2079, 4048
Auto
42.8 19%
Teleop
127.8 55%
Endgame
60.4 26%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 20%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.69 · Blue 1.12
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score416.9pts
Blue projected score236.7pts
Red win probability90%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 66%, blue 77%
Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 14%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
180.2
Score range
197457
Upset likelihood
10%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 637 vs event baseline 222.9.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

611.7Season APEX381.2
81.2Auto42.8
235Teleop127.8
94.7Endgame60.4
64Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto6952
teleop221104
endgame12056
foul015
total410227

Result

Final score

410227

Prediction correct · off by 8.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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