Qualification · Qualification 76
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
416.93 – 236.72
90%10%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
410 – 227
Prediction correct · off by 8.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 611.7 ±8.8
Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 19.4Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 225.38Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 269Event APEX 172.15Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 381.2 ±12.8
Season APEX 94.7Event APEX 40.06Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 151.56Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 45.1Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8567, 190, 10254
85
/ 100 compatProjected
416.9 pts
~2.7 RP (district)
Teams: 8567, 190, 10254
Auto
81.2 20%
Teleop
235.0 57%
Endgame
94.7 23%
Strengths
- · 190 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 20%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3634, 2079, 4048
64
/ 100 compatProjected
236.7 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 3634, 2079, 4048
Auto
42.8 19%
Teleop
127.8 55%
Endgame
60.4 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 20%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.69 · Blue 1.12
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score416.9pts
Blue projected score236.7pts
Red win probability90%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 66%, blue 77%
Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 14%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 180.2
- Score range
- 197–457
- Upset likelihood
- 10%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
611.7Season APEX381.2
81.2Auto42.8
235Teleop127.8
94.7Endgame60.4
64Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 69 | 52 |
| teleop | 221 | 104 |
| endgame | 120 | 56 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 410 | 227 |
Result
Final score
410 – 227
Prediction correct · off by 8.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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