Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

80.73 – 165.71

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

45 – 165

Prediction correct · off by 18.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 228.9 ±13.9

4628Sintian Robotics

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 45.36Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2168Aluminum Falcons

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 20.89Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5494Bizarbots Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 14.48Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 283.8 ±12.8

97Bionic Beef

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 26.56Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1027Mechatronic Maniacs

Season APEX 89Event APEX 25.53Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 113.62Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4628, 2168, 5494

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4628, 2168, 5494

Auto

22.3 31%

Teleop

19.3 27%

Endgame

29.7 42%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 97, 1027, 1100

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 97, 1027, 1100

Auto

31.3 20%

Teleop

77.6 50%

Endgame

46.9 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.22 · Blue 2.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score80.7pts

Blue projected score165.7pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -85
Score range: 41–206
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 210 vs event baseline 224.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

228.9Season APEX283.8

22.3Auto31.3

19.3Teleop77.6

29.7Endgame46.9

22Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	14
teleop	15	98
endgame	14	53
foul	0	0
total	45	165

Result

Final score

45 – 165

Prediction correct · off by 18.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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