Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

262.83 – 289.97

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

117 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 158.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 546 ±9.4

8544Reinforcement

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 43.44Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

999MechaRAMS

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 42.17Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 177.22Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 501.2 ±9.9

6333Scavenger Robotics

Season APEX 92.9Event APEX 65.57Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 181.95Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

348Norwell Robotics

Season APEX 147.4Event APEX 42.45Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8544, 999, 1768

/ 100 compat

Projected

262.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8544, 999, 1768

Auto

36.8 15%

Teleop

126.1 50%

Endgame

87.3 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6333, 2370, 348

/ 100 compat

Projected

290 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6333, 2370, 348

Auto

60.0 21%

Teleop

157.8 55%

Endgame

70.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.59 · Blue 2.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score262.8pts

Blue projected score290pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -27.1
Score range: 222–331
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 236 vs event baseline 225.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

546Season APEX501.2

36.8Auto60

126.1Teleop157.8

87.3Endgame70.6

18Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	15
teleop	73	88
endgame	33	16
foul	0	0
total	117	119

Result

Final score

117 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 158.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.