Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

374.42 – 248.76

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

378 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 3.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 537.1 ±10.8

4048Redshift

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 43.53Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8567Team Ultraviolet

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 19.72Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 311.17Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 379.2 ±11.6

1740Cyber Colonels

Season APEX 140.9Event APEX 81.69Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1757Wolverines

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 66.65Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5112The Gongoliers

Season APEX 153Event APEX 100.42Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4048, 8567, 3467

/ 100 compat

Projected

374.4 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4048, 8567, 3467

Auto

65.6 18%

Teleop

219.3 59%

Endgame

89.0 24%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1740, 1757, 5112

/ 100 compat

Projected

248.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1740, 1757, 5112

Auto

43.4 18%

Teleop

139.0 57%

Endgame

62.4 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.6 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score374.4pts

Blue projected score248.8pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 73%

Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 125.7
Score range: 209–414
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 630 vs event baseline 224.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

537.1Season APEX379.2

65.6Auto43.4

219.3Teleop139

89Endgame62.4

58Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	80	38
teleop	227	151
endgame	71	43
foul	0	20
total	378	252

Result

Final score

378 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 3.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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