Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

80.43 – 392.3

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

46 – 332

Prediction correct · off by 47.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 229.6 ±13.9

7760Griffin Innovations

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 37.23Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1027Mechatronic Maniacs

Season APEX 89Event APEX 26.59Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5494Bizarbots Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 16.61Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 554.3 ±11.2

3205Patriots

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 61.08Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10254Regal Seagulls

Season APEX 269Event APEX 176.8Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

20794H ALARM Robotics

Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 154.42Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7760, 1027, 5494

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7760, 1027, 5494

Auto

23.5 34%

Teleop

17.9 26%

Endgame

28.0 40%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3205, 10254, 2079

/ 100 compat

Projected

392.3 pts

~2.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3205, 10254, 2079

Auto

65.5 17%

Teleop

222.6 57%

Endgame

103.4 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score80.4pts

Blue projected score392.3pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 77%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -311.9
Score range: 39–433
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 378 vs event baseline 225.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

229.6Season APEX554.3

23.5Auto65.5

17.9Teleop222.6

28Endgame103.4

3Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	52
teleop	13	216
endgame	10	64
foul	0	0
total	46	332

Result

Final score

46 – 332

Prediction correct · off by 47.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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