Qualification · Qualification 70
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
102.49 – 257.48
13%87%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
139 – 275
Prediction correct · off by 27 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 197 ±12.2
Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 85.12Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 65.1Event APEX -4.28Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 23.5Event APEX 21.65Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 376.2 ±12
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 225.35Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 72Event APEX 7.44Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 24.69Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 467, 157, 1474
40
/ 100 compatProjected
102.5 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 467, 157, 1474
Auto
23.8 24%
Teleop
61.7 62%
Endgame
13.9 14%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 190, 716, 97
72
/ 100 compatProjected
257.5 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 190, 716, 97
Auto
52.5 21%
Teleop
134.7 54%
Endgame
62.1 25%
Strengths
- · 190 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.93 · Blue 2.51
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score102.5pts
Blue projected score257.5pts
Red win probability13%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 64%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -155
- Score range
- 61–298
- Upset likelihood
- 13%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
197Season APEX376.2
23.8Auto52.5
61.7Teleop134.7
13.9Endgame62.1
62Consistency73
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 45 | 68 |
| teleop | 65 | 148 |
| endgame | 29 | 54 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 139 | 275 |
Result
Final score
139 – 275
Prediction correct · off by 27 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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