Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
112.76 – 197.1
26%74%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
213 – 546
Prediction correct · off by 224.6 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 338.4 ±12.7
Season APEX 104.6Event APEX -Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 92.9Event APEX -Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 140.9Event APEX 41.43Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 658.1 ±10.2
Season APEX 321.8Event APEX -Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 46.86Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 114.57Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3205, 6333, 1740
51
/ 100 compatProjected
112.8 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3205, 6333, 1740
Auto
28.3 25%
Teleop
63.1 56%
Endgame
21.4 19%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 74%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5000, 4628, 190
66
/ 100 compatProjected
197.1 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 5000, 4628, 190
Auto
37.6 19%
Teleop
97.0 50%
Endgame
59.7 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 74%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.35 · Blue 2.35
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score112.8pts
Blue projected score197.1pts
Red win probability26%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 74%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 22%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -84.3
- Score range
- 74–236
- Upset likelihood
- 26%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
338.4Season APEX658.1
6.9Auto26.9
27.4Teleop79.1
7.1Endgame52.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 101 |
| teleop | 120 | 340 |
| endgame | 76 | 105 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 213 | 546 |
Result
Final score
213 – 546
Prediction correct · off by 224.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.