Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

193.71 – 444.28

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

189 – 513

Prediction correct · off by 36.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 262 ±12.2

6762Oscats

Season APEX 29Event APEX 17.66Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 110.18Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6333Scavenger Robotics

Season APEX 92.9Event APEX 65.87Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 676.2 ±9.5

237Black Magic Robotics

Season APEX 103.8Event APEX 70.86Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 302.24Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8724Mayhem

Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 71.18Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6762, 1100, 6333

/ 100 compat

Projected

193.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6762, 1100, 6333

Auto

38.6 20%

Teleop

98.0 52%

Endgame

51.7 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 237, 3467, 8724

/ 100 compat

Projected

444.3 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 237, 3467, 8724

Auto

88.8 20%

Teleop

247.1 56%

Endgame

102.3 23%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.83 · Blue 2.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score193.7pts

Blue projected score444.3pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -250.6
Score range: 154–484
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 702 vs event baseline 224.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

262Season APEX676.2

38.6Auto88.8

98Teleop247.1

51.7Endgame102.3

49Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	88
teleop	105	329
endgame	48	96
foul	0	0
total	189	513

Result

Final score

189 – 513

Prediction correct · off by 36.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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