Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

318.2 – 145.44

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

319 – 145

Prediction correct · off by 0.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 616.9 ±8.8

5112The Gongoliers

Season APEX 153Event APEX 100.25Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

348Norwell Robotics

Season APEX 147.4Event APEX 41.75Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 176.2Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 393.6 ±11.2

999MechaRAMS

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 41.18Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9644NEIA Robotics

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 92.41Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2262Robo-Panthers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 11.85Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5112, 348, 1768

/ 100 compat

Projected

318.2 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5112, 348, 1768

Auto

52.6 17%

Teleop

199.5 63%

Endgame

66.0 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 999, 9644, 2262

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 999, 9644, 2262

Auto

25.5 18%

Teleop

78.6 56%

Endgame

37.1 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.65 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score318.2pts

Blue projected score145.4pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 172.8
Score range: 105–358
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 464 vs event baseline 223.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

616.9Season APEX393.6

52.6Auto25.5

199.5Teleop78.6

66Endgame37.1

21Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	76	26
teleop	119	77
endgame	124	42
foul	0	0
total	319	145

Result

Final score

319 – 145

Prediction correct · off by 0.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.