Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

327.31 – 5.09

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

480 – 154

Prediction correct · off by 150.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 496.8 ±10.8

5422Stormgears

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 114.99Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 204.91Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1027Mechatronic Maniacs

Season APEX 89Event APEX 7.41Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 256.1 ±12.2

5347Gryphons

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX -8.4Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

97Bionic Beef

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 11.54Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8567Team Ultraviolet

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 1.95Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5422, 190, 1027

/ 100 compat

Projected

327.3 pts

~2.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5422, 190, 1027

Auto

60.2 19%

Teleop

181.5 57%

Endgame

77.7 24%

Strengths

· 190 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5347, 97, 8567

/ 100 compat

Projected

5.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5347, 97, 8567

Auto

7.9 98%

Teleop

6.8 84%

Endgame

-6.6 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.9 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score327.3pts

Blue projected score5.1pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 322.2
Score range: -35–367
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 634 vs event baseline 222.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

496.8Season APEX256.1

60.2Auto7.9

181.5Teleop6.8

77.7Endgame-6.6

24Consistency112

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	77	6
teleop	259	95
endgame	144	48
foul	0	5
total	480	154

Result

Final score

480 – 154

Prediction correct · off by 150.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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