Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

386.93 – 186.26

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

446 – 274

Prediction correct · off by 73.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 644.1 ±10.7

7760Griffin Innovations

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 37.37Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 168.87Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 180.69Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 303.3 ±12.2

1757Wolverines

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 65.73Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5491Hard Reset

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 11.25Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 109.28Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7760, 2370, 5000

/ 100 compat

Projected

386.9 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7760, 2370, 5000

Auto

83.5 22%

Teleop

205.3 55%

Endgame

86.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1757, 5491, 1100

/ 100 compat

Projected

186.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1757, 5491, 1100

Auto

28.4 16%

Teleop

100.7 56%

Endgame

50.4 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.72 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score386.9pts

Blue projected score186.3pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 200.7
Score range: 146–427
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 720 vs event baseline 220.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

644.1Season APEX303.3

83.5Auto28.4

205.3Teleop100.7

86.4Endgame50.4

7Consistency89

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	92	63
teleop	273	93
endgame	81	103
foul	0	15
total	446	274

Result

Final score

446 – 274

Prediction correct · off by 73.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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