Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

434.1 – 69.1

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

387 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 32.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 585 ±9.4

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 322.52Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 106.34Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8544Reinforcement

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 5.24Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 276.8 ±12.2

999MechaRAMS

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 30.77Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

157AZTECHS

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 12.47Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1027Mechatronic Maniacs

Season APEX 89Event APEX 25.86Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3467, 1100, 8544

/ 100 compat

Projected

434.1 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3467, 1100, 8544

Auto

77.8 18%

Teleop

239.4 57%

Endgame

103.6 25%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 999, 157, 1027

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 999, 157, 1027

Auto

8.9 14%

Teleop

20.6 33%

Endgame

33.0 53%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.84 · Blue 0.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score434.1pts

Blue projected score69.1pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 365
Score range: 26–477
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 438 vs event baseline 239.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

585Season APEX276.8

77.8Auto8.9

239.4Teleop20.6

103.6Endgame33

65Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	7
teleop	193	28
endgame	144	16
foul	15	0
total	387	51

Result

Final score

387 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 32.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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