Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

117.37 – 366.01

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

183 – 486

Prediction correct · off by 92.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 328.7 ±11.2

8567Team Ultraviolet

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 6.76Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7760Griffin Innovations

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 31.63Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9644NEIA Robotics

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 78.98Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 559.3 ±9.8

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 161.58Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5422Stormgears

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 106.03Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 98.4Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8567, 7760, 9644

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8567, 7760, 9644

Auto

41.4 33%

Teleop

61.1 49%

Endgame

21.9 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2370, 5422, 1100

/ 100 compat

Projected

366 pts

~2.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2370, 5422, 1100

Auto

68.3 19%

Teleop

201.9 57%

Endgame

83.5 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.91 · Blue 2.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score117.4pts

Blue projected score366pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 77%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -248.6
Score range: 78–405
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 669 vs event baseline 215.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

328.7Season APEX559.3

41.4Auto68.3

61.1Teleop201.9

21.9Endgame83.5

41Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	49
teleop	105	317
endgame	35	115
foul	15	5
total	183	486

Result

Final score

183 – 486

Prediction correct · off by 92.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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