Qualification · Qualification 57
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
419.66 – 52.96
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
392 – 50
Prediction correct · off by 15.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 736.8 ±9.3
Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 161.85Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 185.27Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 72.54Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 218.1 ±13.9
Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 17.42Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 66.6Event APEX 19.55Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 15.99Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2079, 5000, 8724
82
/ 100 compatProjected
419.7 pts
~2.8 RP (district)
Teams: 2079, 5000, 8724
Auto
83.1 19%
Teleop
238.0 56%
Endgame
105.6 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 97, 10393, 2262
22
/ 100 compatProjected
53 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 97, 10393, 2262
Auto
30.6 51%
Teleop
19.7 33%
Endgame
9.6 16%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.78 · Blue 0.78
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score419.7pts
Blue projected score53pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 66%, blue 64%
Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 8%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 366.7
- Score range
- 14–459
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
736.8Season APEX218.1
83.1Auto30.6
238Teleop19.7
105.6Endgame9.6
4Consistency20
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 110 | 16 |
| teleop | 153 | 22 |
| endgame | 84 | 12 |
| foul | 45 | 0 |
| total | 392 | 50 |
Result
Final score
392 – 50
Prediction correct · off by 15.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.